Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.378183e-05 2.867194e-05 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000055 0.000063
2025-08-03 1.932764e-05 2.604139e-05 0.000034 0.000044 0.000055 0.000068 0.000084
2025-08-10 1.481832e-05 2.220670e-05 0.000031 0.000044 0.000059 0.000077 0.000099
2025-08-17 1.058133e-05 1.777412e-05 0.000027 0.000041 0.000058 0.000080 0.000108
2025-08-24 7.747240e-06 1.459650e-05 0.000024 0.000039 0.000058 0.000083 0.000116
2025-08-31 6.082670e-06 1.274946e-05 0.000023 0.000038 0.000060 0.000089 0.000127
2025-09-07 4.588111e-06 1.082275e-05 0.000021 0.000037 0.000061 0.000092 0.000136
2025-09-14 3.284744e-06 8.884364e-06 0.000019 0.000035 0.000060 0.000094 0.000142
2025-09-21 2.392943e-06 7.455724e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000060 0.000096 0.000149
2025-09-28 1.687281e-06 6.172540e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000059 0.000098 0.000154
2025-10-05 1.328390e-06 5.558876e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000061 0.000103 0.000165
2025-10-12 1.077281e-06 5.128199e-06 0.000014 0.000033 0.000063 0.000109 0.000177
2025-10-19 7.796870e-07 4.546284e-06 0.000014 0.000033 0.000067 0.000118 0.000195
2025-10-26 6.633075e-07 4.483029e-06 0.000015 0.000036 0.000074 0.000132 0.000222
2025-11-02 4.266510e-07 3.803028e-06 0.000014 0.000036 0.000077 0.000140 0.000238
2025-11-09 1.985311e-07 2.817650e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000075 0.000141 0.000246
2025-11-16 8.462644e-08 2.126228e-06 0.000010 0.000032 0.000074 0.000143 0.000255
2025-11-23 3.910566e-08 1.751939e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000076 0.000149 0.000270
2025-11-30 1.190447e-08 1.350670e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000076 0.000153 0.000282
2025-12-07 1.363430e-09 9.615934e-07 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000154 0.000289
2025-12-14 9.839670e-12 6.994093e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000074 0.000157 0.000299
2025-12-21 NaN 4.846604e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000073 0.000159 0.000307
2025-12-28 NaN 3.928009e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000075 0.000166 0.000324